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OpenClaw 评估

The package implements an FTD detector as advertised, but its declared metadata and runtime instructions are inconsistent with the included code (undeclared API key and dependencies, vague notification instructions), so review before installing or running.

安装（复制给龙虾 AI）

将下方整段复制到龙虾中文库对话中，由龙虾按 SKILL.md 完成安装。

请把本段交给龙虾中文库（龙虾 AI）执行：为本机安装 OpenClaw 技能「Follow-Through Day (FTD) Detector」。简介：Detects Follow-Through Day (FTD) signals for market bottom confirmation using W…。
请 fetch 以下地址读取 SKILL.md 并按文档完成安装：https://raw.githubusercontent.com/openclaw/skills/refs/heads/main/skills/clawdiri-ai/einstein-research-ftd-dv/SKILL.md
（来源：yingzhi8.cn 技能库）

SKILL.md

打开原始 SKILL.md（GitHub raw）

---
id: 'einstein-research-ftd'
name: 'Follow-Through Day (FTD) Detector'
description: "Detects Follow-Through Day (FTD) signals for market bottom confirmation using William O'Neil's methodology. Dual-index tracking (S&P 500 + NASDAQ) with state machine for rally attempt, FTD qualification, and post-FTD health monitoring. Use when user asks about market bottom signals, follow-through days, rally attempts, re-entry timing after corrections, or whether it's safe to increase equity exposure. Complementary to market-top-detector (defensive) - this skill is offensive (bottom confirmation)."
version: '1.0.0'
author: 'DaVinci'
last_amended_at: null
trigger_patterns: []
pre_conditions:
  git_repo_required: false
  tools_available: []
expected_output_format: 'natural_language'
---

# Follow-Through Day (FTD) Detector

**Goal Chain**: L0 Medici Enterprises → L1 Einstein Research → L2 Market Timing

## Purpose

Detects Follow-Through Day (FTD) signals for market bottom confirmation using William O'Neil's methodology. This skill helps identify when it's safer to increase equity exposure after a market correction. It is the offensive counterpart to the defensive `market-top-detector` skill.

## How It Works

This skill implements a state machine that tracks the S&P 500 (SPY) and NASDAQ (QQQ) for signs of a market bottom.

**State Machine:**
1.  **Correction:** The market is in a downtrend. The skill is looking for a potential bottom.
2.  **Rally Attempt:** A significant up-day occurs after a new low, initiating a "rally attempt". The skill starts a day count.
3.  **FTD Watch:** Between days 4 and 10 of the rally attempt, the skill looks for a Follow-Through Day.
4.  **FTD Confirmed:** A valid FTD occurs. The market is considered to be in a "confirmed uptrend".
5.  **Post-FTD Monitoring:** The skill monitors the health of the confirmed uptrend for signs of failure (e.g., immediate sharp reversals).

## FTD Rules (O'Neil Methodology)

-   **Rally Attempt Start (Day 1):** The index closes higher after a new low, or holds above the low for a second day.
-   **FTD Qualification (Day 4-10):** A major index (SPY or QQQ) must close up **>1.5%** on higher volume than the previous day.
-   **Confirmation:** Both SPY and QQQ should ideally confirm the FTD within a day or two of each other for the strongest signal.
-   **Failure:** An FTD is considered failed if the index undercuts the low of the rally attempt day.

## Usage

This skill is run via a CLI tool, typically as part of a daily market analysis cron job.

```bash
# Run the FTD analysis for the latest market data
einstein-research ftd

# Output (example)
{
  "status": "FTD_CONFIRMED",
  "details": "Follow-Through Day confirmed on 2026-03-14 for SPY.",
  "spy": {
    "state": "FTD_CONFIRMED",
    "rally_attempt_start_date": "2026-03-10",
    "day_count": 5,
    "ftd_date": "2026-03-14",
    "ftd_price_change_pct": 1.8,
    "ftd_volume_change_pct": 25.1
  },
  "qqq": {
    "state": "FTD_WATCH",
    "rally_attempt_start_date": "2026-03-11",
    "day_count": 4,
    "ftd_date": null
  },
  "recommendation": "Market in confirmed uptrend. Consider increasing equity exposure cautiously. Monitor for confirmation on QQQ."
}
```

## Data Sources

-   **yfinance:** Daily OHLCV data for SPY and QQQ.
-   **Local Cache:** Data is cached locally to avoid redundant downloads.

## Integration

-   **Daily Cron:** Run `einstein-research ftd` after market close each day.
-   **Alerting:** If `status` changes to `RALLY_ATTEMPT` or `FTD_CONFIRMED`, send a notification to Omer.
-   **DaVinciOS Dashboard:** The output of this skill can be used to update a market-timing indicator on the main dashboard.

## When to Use

-   After a market correction of 10% or more.
-   When looking for a signal to start buying stocks again.
-   To confirm if a recent market bounce has strength.

This skill should be used in conjunction with other indicators (like market breadth, sentiment, and the `market-top-detector`) for a complete picture.